https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/2017GH000108Abstract New dam construction is known to exacerbate malaria transmission in Africa as the vectors of malaria—Anopheles mosquitoes—use bodies of water as breeding sites. Precise environmental mechanisms of how reservoirs exacerbate malaria transmission are yet to be identiﬁed. Understanding
of these mechanisms should lead to a better assessment of the impacts of dam construction and to
new prevention strategies. Combining extensive multiyear ﬁeld surveys around the Koka Reservoir in Ethiopia and rigorous model development and simulation studies, environmental mechanisms of malaria transmission around the reservoir were examined. Most comprehensive and detailed malaria transmission model, Hydrology, Entomology, and Malaria Transmission Simulator, was applied to a village adjacent to the reservoir. Signiﬁcant contributions to the dynamics of malaria transmission are shaped by wind proﬁle, marginal pools, temperature, and shoreline locations. Wind speed and wind direction inﬂuence Anopheles populations and malaria transmission during the major and secondary mosquito seasons. During the secondary mosquito season, a noticeable inﬂuence was also attributed to marginal pools. Temperature was found to play an important role, not so much in Anopheles population dynamics, but in malaria transmission dynamics. Change in shoreline locations drives malaria transmission dynamics, with closer shoreline locations to the village making malaria transmission more likely. Identiﬁed environmental mechanisms help in predicting malaria transmission seasons and in developing village relocation strategies upon dam construction to minimize the risk of malaria.